A discussion of ideas, thoughts, philosophies and life in general.
Tuesday, October 30, 2018
Saturday, October 20, 2018
Saturday, October 13, 2018
It's Time for Trump the Deal-Maker to Hit the 'Pause' Button
On October 2, 2018, Jamal Khasoggi, a former Saudi
Arabian senior journalist who was critical of the Saudi regime, entered the
Saudi consulate in Istanbul, Turkey to obtain paperwork for his planned
marriage to his Turkish fiancée. There is video evidence of his entry into the
facility, but no evidence showing that he ever came out again. Khasoggi,
fearing arrest for his criticism of the Saudi government, had gone into
self-imposed exile, had become a legal permanent resident of the United States,
and wrote opinion pieces for the Washington
Post and other media outlets.
Turkish officials claim that they have audio and video
evidence that shows Khasoggi was beaten, tortured, killed, and then dismembered
by a team of Saudi intelligence officials who had entered Istanbul and departed
by private plane the same day. The Turks say that one of the 15 agents was a
forensics expert. The Saudis, not surprisingly, deny this happened, and call the
Turkish claim a lie. Outside the locked rooms of the various intelligence
agencies little is actually known, other than the fact that Khasoggi has not
been heard from since October 2.
While I, like most outside the intelligence community,
don’t know what actually happened
inside the Saudi consulate on October 2, what I do know has left me shocked, appalled, and disgusted. Shocked, but
hardly surprised, that a government would even contemplate such a barbarous
act. Appalled that so little concrete has been done beyond the usual public statements
of ‘shock, dismay, and disapproval.’ And, disgusted at my own government’s
reactions to his incident.
President, and deal-maker-in-chief, Donald Trump, when
this first hit the airwaves, was noncommittal, and ended his statement by
saying that while this, if true, was terrible, he did not want to cancel a $110
billion arms sale to the Saudis. Subsequently, Trump expressed his ‘anger’ at
the whole incident, promised that he would have ‘strong words’ for the Saudi
leadership, but still expressed his reluctance to kill the arms sale – because of
its benefits to the US economy and US jobs. Furthermore, he expressed his
desire that this windfall not go to other countries, such as Russia or China.
His statements, or at least, the part about the arms sale, are dismaying and,
from what I know, incorrect.
Let’s look first at the ‘facts.’ He claims a $110
billion sale; in fact, the White House previously announced this $100 billion
potential sale, but without going into any details. Based on current reporting
and the history of US-Saudi arms deals, I find the $110 billion figure hard to swallow.
In 2017, Saudi Arabia bought $10 billion in arms, $6 billion of that from the
U.S., the rest from mostly European countries. A tenfold increase in purchases
seems, on the surface, to be incredible, and, frankly, unbelievable. News
reports indicate that State Department records show a planned purchase of $4
billion, which is more realistic. As to Trump’s claims that the Saudis will, if
the U.S. sale doesn’t go through, purchase from Russia or China, also don’t
pass the smell test. The Saudi military uses mostly U.S. equipment. It’s
doubtful that either the Chinese or the Russians could provide material or
equipment that would be compatible with the current Saudi force structure, and
it would take several years for Saudi Arabia to reconfigure their force to
integrate Chinese or Russian arms. My conclusion is, what we have here is
another case of the ‘alternative facts’ that seem to come out of this White
House with alarming frequency.
One other thing that dismays me is the reporting that
the U.S. intelligence community had information that the Saudis were planning
to lure Khasoggi back to Saudi Arabia so they could arrest him. Why, one might
ask, was he not warned of this danger?
According to Trump, he’s not an American, the incident
didn’t happen on American soil, so, it’s not our ‘problem.’
Horse feathers! Intelligence Community Directive 191,
I understand, is an executive branch directive that requires the IC to warn any
individual, specifically non-US individuals, when there is a threat to them in
a foreign country. Even if such a directive did not exist, I would think a
sense of ‘right’ would compel the government to find a way, without
compromising sources and methods, to alert someone that a foreign agency has
him or her in its sights.
One can only wonder at this point; if Khasoggi had
been a legal permanent resident working for Fox, Breitbart, or one of the other
right-wing media concerns, if we would be hearing the same tired old song.
The world will be watching us and judging what we do
in this terrible situation. Will we continue to put money over morals? If we
do, all I can say is – SHAME!!
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